Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.057347 0.065111 0.073080 0.081840 0.091170 0.100781 0.111402
2025-07-27 0.046295 0.057921 0.070470 0.084880 0.100836 0.117841 0.137219
2025-08-03 0.037734 0.051481 0.066976 0.085404 0.106423 0.129386 0.156116
2025-08-10 0.031741 0.046885 0.064620 0.086343 0.111717 0.139973 0.173393
2025-08-17 0.026506 0.042420 0.061770 0.086130 0.115196 0.148104 0.187559
2025-08-24 0.020898 0.036744 0.056847 0.082911 0.114705 0.151308 0.195782
2025-08-31 0.016658 0.032296 0.052992 0.080587 0.114933 0.155064 0.204394
2025-09-07 0.014112 0.029849 0.051451 0.080919 0.118186 0.162233 0.216856
2025-09-14 0.012340 0.028294 0.050920 0.082398 0.122742 0.170876 0.230994
2025-09-21 0.011521 0.028089 0.052160 0.086122 0.130058 0.182819 0.249039
2025-09-28 0.010011 0.026575 0.051433 0.087155 0.133923 0.190546 0.262047
2025-10-05 0.010190 0.027892 0.054765 0.093627 0.144711 0.206730 0.285203
2025-10-12 0.007824 0.024613 0.051416 0.091222 0.144432 0.209762 0.293106
2025-10-19 0.007091 0.024206 0.052312 0.094656 0.151758 0.222276 0.312616
2025-10-26 0.005844 0.022581 0.051221 0.095244 0.155333 0.230125 0.326482
2025-11-02 0.004853 0.021264 0.050486 0.096247 0.159396 0.238548 0.341031
2025-11-09 0.003804 0.019553 0.048967 0.096021 0.161750 0.244777 0.352861
2025-11-16 0.002506 0.016763 0.045389 0.092595 0.159661 0.245271 0.357537
2025-11-23 0.001611 0.014565 0.042576 0.090119 0.158722 0.247127 0.363813
2025-11-30 0.001168 0.013509 0.041687 0.090473 0.161605 0.253844 0.376107
2025-12-07 0.000899 0.012927 0.041615 0.092049 0.166160 0.262711 0.391092
2025-12-14 0.000828 0.013144 0.043070 0.096013 0.174059 0.275928 0.411551
2025-12-21 0.000595 0.012461 0.042721 0.097112 0.177935 0.283920 0.425465